Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a46eb6033deff85e4918cf78be07fe3741c6b591840d99c8b1b8a78b9cdbacb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 52c | 18,247$9,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,827.62 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,499$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 3,094$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.08 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 50c | 2,705$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.09 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 1,885$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 965.63$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Over | 45c | 850$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 53c | 802.88$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 52c | 741.94$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 2c | 712$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 49c | 711.15$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.56 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 662.8$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 73c | 622.22$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.22 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Over | 27c | 622.22$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 503.16$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.48 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 52c | 382.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 59c | 356.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 79c | 276.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…b9b2backed Over | 28c | 176.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 33c | 146.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 109.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 102.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 91.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 51c | 68.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 47.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 47c | 46.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 46.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 68c | 37.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 61c | 32.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 26.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Göztepe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Göztepe SK O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Göztepe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.