Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e32e8681de3ddffa6f38e0da88ad223ffb1ade4c78270a15a0a556bda18692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 58c | 80,952$46,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,806.2 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 42c | 25,672$10,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,889.55 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 23,067$9,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,885.9 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 42c | 5,514$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.38 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 4,420$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.4 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 42c | 3,903$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.49 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 3,682$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.41 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 22c | 3,001$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 42c | 2,796$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.47 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 2,208$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.75 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Over | 69c | 2,170$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 2,149$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.58 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,021$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.62 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 2,020$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.38 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 42c | 1,779$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.33 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 1,778$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.83 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 1,555$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.31 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.95 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 43c | 1,411$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.94 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 1,379$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.49 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,242$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 25c | 1,024$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Under | 42c | 880.95$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Over | 63c | 862.9$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 626.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 30c | 620.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.78 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 545$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.81 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 36c | 523.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Over | 45c | 515.17$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 62c | 514.05$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.3 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 59c | 496.72$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 61c | 482.16$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 417$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 54c | 393.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 37c | 250.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 42c | 244.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 222.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 56c | 219.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 209.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 207.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 198.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 189.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 21c | 180.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 155.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 56c | 153.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 20c | 127$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 59c | 126.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 123.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 45c | 119.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 60c | 113.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Over | 56c | 96.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 87.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 64c | 86.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce58…6321backed Under | 35c | 82.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 59c | 81.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 44c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 43c | 78.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 44c | 77.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 42c | 77.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 61c | 76.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…682dbacked Over | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 21c | 71.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 60c | 69.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 39c | 64.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 42c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 38c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +307%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 55.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 42c | 54.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 42c | 53.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 42c | 51.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 50.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 45c | 50.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 50.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 42c | 38.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 37.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: New England Revolution O/U 1.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: New England Revolution O/U 2.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: New York City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)New England Revolution won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.