Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4927e6b7a1a7bb75636eb795b0d7ccc31a8f95385d38268e5a52f1d6efd23856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 78c | 3,751$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.05 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 2,118$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.85 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 1,008$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.96 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 70c | 556.42$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 22c | 525$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 38c | 519.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 78c | 473.37$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 307.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Under | 33c | 298.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 72c | 236.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 166$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 86.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 68c | 73.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 77c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 26c | 41.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 67c | 39.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: New England Revolution O/U 1.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: New England Revolution O/U 2.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: New York City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)New England Revolution won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.