TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
New York City FCof New England Revolution, New York City FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,011 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x800a…0b4dbacked New England Revolution35c771.43$270 inLost-$2702138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed New York City FC66c561.9$371 inWon+$191.0698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked New England Revolution22c363.64$80 inLost-$80911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York City FC78c308.05$240 inWon+$67.773,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed New England Revolution22c213.64$47 inLost-$4724326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed New York City FC73c101.9$75 inWon+$27.3438246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York City FC78c100$78 inWon+$2220449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed New England Revolution21c71.6$15 inLost-$15.296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x696a…4715backed New England Revolution25c59.8$15 inLost-$14.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked New England Revolution36c55.61$20 inLost-$20.023231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York City FC72c39.99$29 inWon+$11.011,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed New York City FC78c23$18 inWon+$5.061,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed New York City FC78c14.09$11 inWon+$3.111100%11 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+61%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed New York City FC78c12.74$10 inWon+$2.743246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.