NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d7dafb476afbfdb611fb322e89920ccf881ed5781dcefceb0f940b86577046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Dolphins | 37c | 7,807$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.61 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Giants | 63c | 6,874$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Dolphins | 27c | 5,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…3bc3backed Giants | 16c | 4,980$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…c8b8backed Giants | 69c | 4,038$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Giants | 73c | 3,298$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.52 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Dolphins | 6c | 2,488$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Dolphins | 46c | 2,349$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dolphins | 1c | 1,650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Giants | 75c | 1,608$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.08 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dolphins | 42c | 1,500$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Giants | 58c | 1,459$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.68 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Dolphins | 40c | 1,407$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…f01abacked Giants | 76c | 1,117$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Giants | 15c | 1,015$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Dolphins | 37c | 938.2$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Dolphins | 14c | 709.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Dolphins | 37c | 644.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Dolphins | 39c | 620$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 56c | 613.9$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Giants | 63c | 537.79$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Giants | 62c | 501.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dolphins | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Dolphins | 13c | 399.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Giants | 54c | 382.3$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dolphins | 42c | 373.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Giants | 77c | 365.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Giants | 74c | 307.67$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Giants | 61c | 301.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Dolphins | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dolphins | 26c | 282.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Giants | 62c | 203.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Dolphins | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Dolphins | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Giants | 64c | 198.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dolphins | 31c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dolphins | 43c | 135.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Giants | 80c | 125.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…f63dbacked Dolphins | 16c | 122.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Giants | 63c | 112.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…850cbacked Dolphins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Giants | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Giants | 80c | 99.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Dolphins | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Giants | 52c | 50.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Dolphins | 25c | 48.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…e101backed Dolphins | 28c | 41.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Giants | 70c | 41.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Dolphins | 39c | 41.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dolphins | 43c | 40.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…0124backed Giants | 76c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Giants | 75c | 38.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Dolphins | 39c | 36.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Dolphins | 42c | 35.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Dolphins | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…6bd4backed Dolphins | 42c | 30.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Giants | 78c | 28.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Giants | 60c | 27.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Giants | 57c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dolphins | 43c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Giants | 62c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Giants | 73c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Dolphinsthis page
- NYG vs. MIA: O/U 36.5Under won
- NYG vs. MIA: O/U 37.5Under won
- Spread: NYG (-3.5)NYG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.