MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd2d8cd8f86c337453b05332a803cf74559a70d0a35fa77f90871b38c34250f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 119,705$63,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,861.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,999.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 65,331$35,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,867.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 46c | 42,050$19,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,238.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 47c | 16,666$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,833.02 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 14,845$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,913.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Over | 44c | 10,920$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 55c | 6,773$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.88 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 45c | 6,370$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.53 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 5,735$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 5,081$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 4,588$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 53c | 4,072$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.98 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 3,989$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 54c | 2,250$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.34 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 2,242$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.59 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Over | 44c | 2,167$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 1,923$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.71 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 54c | 1,863$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.21 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 1,135$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 1,107$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 34c | 1,081$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.49 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 1,033$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.79 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 1,008$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.56 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 52c | 818.71$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 795.6$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 765.08$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.52 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 692.98$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.87 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 45c | 646$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 48c | 556.62$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 501$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 484$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 47c | 356.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 321.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 52c | 300.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 45c | 252.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 48c | 197.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…b64dbacked Under | 55c | 165.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 45c | 155.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 45c | 155.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 45c | 149.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 149.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 52c | 130.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 45c | 111.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 110.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 93.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 78.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 47c | 66.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 42c | 64.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Over | 48c | 63.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 48c | 58.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Over | 48c | 54.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Over | 48c | 52.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…b9d9backed Under | 53c | 46.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Over | 47c | 41.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 34.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…581bbacked Under | 53c | 33.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 54c | 29.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…190ebacked Under | 54c | 28.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 220 | 64.1%141 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…6ab2backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…9ccebacked Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Over | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay RaysTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.