Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6bf958e3e4ac4be9b85c8861dc91020e740f582b0159bc5e9e6d546c3baa0c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed No | 40c | 33,036$13,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,889.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 53c | 7,896$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.77 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed No | 44c | 4,301$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 3,481$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.74 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 60c | 2,083$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 1,950$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,940$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 60c | 1,759$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.25 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,601$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 61c | 1,496$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.15 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,437$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.63 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 10c | 1,264$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 965.77$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.96 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Yes | 60c | 951.43$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 944$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.88 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 60c | 827.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 686.16$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.23 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 667.9$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 633.93$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 60c | 502$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.2 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 54c | 500.36$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 496.64$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 61c | 491.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 60c | 458$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 447.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 56c | 436.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 60c | 416.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 54c | 366.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 60c | 362.02$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 60c | 291.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 276$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 256.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 217.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 60c | 205.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed No | 45c | 184.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Yes | 57c | 167.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 60c | 157$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Yes | 54c | 148.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked Yes | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Yes | 50c | 127.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 126.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…2c89backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 55c | 103.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 63c | 98.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 68c | 92.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 56c | 84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 60c | 80.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Yes | 53c | 79.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 43c | 77.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 74.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Yes | 44c | 73.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 54c | 71.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 76c | 69.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Yes | 60c | 68.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 60c | 68.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 59c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 33c | 58.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 63c | 53.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed No | 40c | 49.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes | 32c | 47.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 40c | 45.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…4c16backed Yes | 59c | 44.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 43c | 42.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 47c | 42.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 55c | 40.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 51c | 38.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 33.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed No | 55c | 33.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 53c | 29.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 39c | 28.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 27.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 47c | 27.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 61c | 26.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 61c | 25.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…91febacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.