Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cc315030a4b3c0ff346c027d6f4b4467008cf74668effe987462aa3dcad6de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 12,671$8,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 52c | 10,633$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.67 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 36c | 9,727$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.69 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 44c | 6,947$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.74 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 3,435$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 2,005$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 46c | 1,975$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.83 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 1,949$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.08 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 1,684$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.71 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 1,675$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.92 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 1,127$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 1,067$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…8a83backed No | 48c | 1,066$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.98 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.97 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 53c | 1,037$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.36 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 993.6$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.67 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 746.62$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 35c | 698.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.43 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 64c | 662.21$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 63c | 655.65$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 38c | 640.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 49c | 617.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 601.11$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.26 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 51c | 573.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 25c | 547.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 50c | 544.54$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 68c | 515.24$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 49c | 507.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 65c | 503.52$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 445.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 445$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Yes | 54c | 369.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 48c | 328.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 50c | 327$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 47c | 305.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 6c | 266.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 55c | 261$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 50c | 247$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…ced5backed Yes | 53c | 224.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 8c | 210.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 50c | 204.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 7c | 199.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 51c | 198.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 180$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 46c | 174.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 158.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 52c | 149.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 70c | 148.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 51c | 134.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 41c | 117.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 50c | 116.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 52c | 116.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 102.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 52c | 102.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 52c | 101.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 54c | 98.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 51c | 97.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 52c | 90.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…1c33backed Yes | 55c | 88.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 51c | 88.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 49c | 87.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 85.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…5396backed Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed No | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 67c | 52.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Yes | 50c | 50.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Yes | 52c | 47.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 48c | 46.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Yes | 52c | 46.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 43c | 39.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 37.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will FC Spartak Trnava win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.