Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e682747e994786af0d84496ee4a108d6d6de8caca30aaf6639e91252e419d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 2,700$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.89 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,591$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.98 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 1,878$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.36 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,800$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.61 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 78c | 1,315$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 48c | 923.88$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.08 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 688.03$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.44 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 44c | 674.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 525.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 69c | 503.57$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 425.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5f1abacked Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 270$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 69c | 240$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 51c | 226.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 70c | 205.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 11c | 194$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 188.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 31c | 162.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 12c | 162.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.03 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Under | 13c | 154$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 30c | 139.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 68c | 130.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 70c | 127.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 79c | 88.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 83.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 70.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 66.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 43c | 58.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 68c | 47.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 66c | 42.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 75c | 41.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 68c | 40.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 71c | 38.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 71c | 36.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…378abacked Over | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 54c | 35.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 74c | 34.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 61c | 32.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…c02dbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 62c | 23.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Over | 64c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 61c | 23.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 73c | 22.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 70c | 20.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 69c | 19.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 68c | 18.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Over | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.