TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c7,364$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.495,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over50c2,675$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.3217249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over47c2,480$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.039344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over50c2,331$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Over48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under54c1,802$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.212,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.991,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over50c1,361$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.241250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8063…7832backed Over48c1,073$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.093243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over44c892.52$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.711,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under44c772$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3212639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over45c554.36$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.466349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under53c535.44$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.116547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under50c521.1$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.551625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c457.89$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2193446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under53c324.61$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6735751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over46c271.72$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9912542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over49c268.6$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6410837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c267.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.392,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under53c217.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5237153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Under57c208.88$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.632040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under56c199.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under51c196.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.182857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under53c193.79$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.251,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under53c188.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.273855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c185.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.711,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under51c172$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.283641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under53c171.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.914266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under50c149.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under51c143.46$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5923859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c137.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3238849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under53c119.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.093658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under50c111$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2219354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c108.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.141,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c102.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3934847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Under50c102.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.281741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under58c90.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8114948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under43c89.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.55244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81c…d3fabacked Under55c87.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.534566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c72.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3632654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over44c71.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…79b1backed Over47c68.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under44c65.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4725742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under68c65.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.861,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over46c63.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4113246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c59.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.542625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c53.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4639649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-40.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.998347%39 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under65c43.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over51c40.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.693040%12 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.253946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.626052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.46454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed6…2322backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under50c38.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.356051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b3…384fbacked Under51c36.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over51c36.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.542944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under50c34.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0211145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over50c33.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.732646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83b…2153backed Under51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Over44c25.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.276238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0aa…7a60backed Under50c25.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f78…3546backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under53c23.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0731960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over46c21.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.