Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb2a9d6c2d515dcb8544b7439355290c6a319fdc9ba7d4289ea58e86f558287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Haigang FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Shanghai Shenhua FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 75c | 1,973$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 18c | 1,351$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.82 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 21c | 140$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 78c | 127.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…262bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 79c | 125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 42c | 124.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 21c | 77.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 78c | 54.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…9ab9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 40.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.