Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39c4b5146bd46e4044e18f899eb0eb098a686b4fc8b7f744e746ca75b498814e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 1,483$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 1,150$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 59c | 982.09$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.64 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 913$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 754$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 10c | 671$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 303.39$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.83 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 301.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 206.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 12c | 196$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 70c | 154.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 14c | 133.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 111.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 31c | 86.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 45c | 81.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 29c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 40c | 52.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…e870backed Yes | 73c | 40.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 69c | 39.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 31c | 36.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 67c | 26.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 42c | 25.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a8…6460backed Yes | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…bbccbacked Yes | 71c | 14.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.