Premier League · resolved market
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3782969aaa494c95f880a542ded67f2ea33487f4abe770168e4fb0ad53530b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 16c | 2,567$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 15c | 1,787$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 15c | 1,689$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 1,644$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 11c | 1,458$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,412$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 15c | 1,050$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Yes | 15c | 840$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes | 15c | 511.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 506.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 14c | 423.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 380.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 15c | 239.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Yes | 15c | 149.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…7d3abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…60b1backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…4a96backed Yes | 14c | 107.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…82eebacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 14c | 99.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 14c | 88.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3184…525fbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 1 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 2 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 2 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 3 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 3 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Coventry City FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Coventry City FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Coventry City FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.