Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482917e646d283e9c716e296747a27c72b88979284d3e271ee66fa731c9bab56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof Racing Club de Lens, AJ Auxerre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 1,056$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.25 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed AJ Auxerre | 58c | 888.36$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.74 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed AJ Auxerre | 58c | 462.31$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 445.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 184.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked AJ Auxerre | 58c | 150.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed AJ Auxerre | 58c | 118.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 113.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed AJ Auxerre | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 91.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…5c64backed Racing Club de Lens | 65c | 91.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AJ Auxerre | 60c | 90.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 63.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed AJ Auxerre | 61c | 59.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Racing Club de Lens | 38c | 52.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 48.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed AJ Auxerre | 42c | 48.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked AJ Auxerre | 59c | 46.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed AJ Auxerre | 57c | 40.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked AJ Auxerre | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Racing Club de Lens | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 27.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 27.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 26.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Racing Club de Lens | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AJ Auxerre | 46c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Racing Club de Lens | 71c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.