Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde78a850b0aac2418200462617ed058727706a1f1cf4e2ab1118b382efd74725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 5,006$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.53 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 3,792$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.09 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 42c | 2,390$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 20c | 2,309$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 57c | 1,952$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under | 51c | 1,931$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 79c | 1,839$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +669.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 1,837$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,768$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.12 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 70c | 1,261$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.01 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 48c | 1,126$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 766.46$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.91 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 4c | 744.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 30c | 592.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 545.23$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 485.91$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 42c | 461.19$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 32c | 438.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 72c | 384.59$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 333.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 72c | 267.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 57c | 218.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 213.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 196.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 43c | 193.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 70c | 152$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ccbabacked Under | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 80c | 109.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 82.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 59c | 78.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 59c | 77.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 41c | 58.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Under | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…50cbbacked Over | 80c | 56.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 26c | 38.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…f26ebacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…dc3fbacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 61c | 31.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 42c | 26.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 70c | 20.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.