Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cdf419fb3ffdbf3bc6f62af0bf3ec7a1dac21d01f79e7d8e897efbfb0559028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 48c | 823.56$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.07 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2717…0b3cbacked Under | 51c | 767.63$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 55c | 689.48$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 689.41$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.56 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Over | 49c | 569.7$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 53c | 469.53$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 351.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 43c | 317.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 25c | 305.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 280.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 51c | 275$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 43c | 230.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 48c | 207.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 65c | 197.26$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…b454backed Over | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 55c | 153.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 152.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 125.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 51c | 121.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 43c | 118.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 57c | 116.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 46c | 105.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over | 47c | 101.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 58c | 99.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 33c | 97.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 56c | 94.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Over | 45c | 86.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 55c | 83.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 80.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…3193backed Under | 56c | 68.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 46c | 65.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 403 | 65%262 W · 141 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…a713backed Over | 47c | 64.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 49c | 59.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 54c | 56.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 45c | 51.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 27c | 50.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 31c | 44.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 45c | 39.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…ddf8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 245 | 43.3%106 W · 139 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 53c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 52c | 26.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…dbbabacked Under | 56c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 24.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1209backed Under | 54c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team WE won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.