Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339a3e72b470f75e8cb758e2a4f7c7c3dc0e0d4531414341901ad4b6496647a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 75c | 11,067$8,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.43 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 6,849$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.68 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 10c | 6,507$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 26c | 5,757$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.74 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 4,742$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 6c | 3,987$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 22c | 3,276$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.7 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,777$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 25c | 2,713$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 22c | 1,280$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…8a83backed No | 25c | 1,215$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 76c | 770.31$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 665.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 24c | 605.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 597.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 24c | 581.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 27c | 552.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 75c | 522$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 25c | 449.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 75c | 398.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 25c | 395.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 76c | 369$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 24c | 368.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 26c | 267.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 14c | 171.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 23c | 143.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 74c | 111$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 74c | 85.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 29c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 26c | 73.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 70c | 70.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 78c | 57.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 26c | 57.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 26c | 53.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked No | 26c | 50.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 75c | 44.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 29c | 43.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Yes | 75c | 22.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 75c | 17.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 75c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Dila Gori win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.