Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Antoine Ghibaudo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bfdddb28b25457c03212b4ef02b2f3de973fc2a6c40bc817d58e09908781863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antoine Ghibaudoof Akira Santillan, Antoine Ghibaudo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Akira Santillan | 5c | 29,900$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.33 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Akira Santillan | 19c | 4,486$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.31 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675e…42febacked Akira Santillan | 50c | 3,312$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Akira Santillan | 24c | 3,126$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.3 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Akira Santillan | 17c | 2,896$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.78 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 51c | 1,975$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.45 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Akira Santillan | 44c | 931.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.56 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 78c | 560.4$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Akira Santillan | 49c | 549.89$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.61 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akira Santillan | 34c | 464.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 65c | 461.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 57c | 408.77$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 440 | 56.1%247 W · 193 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Akira Santillan | 10c | 400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Akira Santillan | 44c | 367.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 56c | 359.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Akira Santillan | 5c | 332.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 50c | 330$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 63c | 298.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Akira Santillan | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Akira Santillan | 47c | 273$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Akira Santillan | 22c | 269.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…fab5backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 48c | 266.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 53c | 243.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Akira Santillan | 46c | 239.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Akira Santillan | 28c | 178.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 52c | 164.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 53c | 164$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Akira Santillan | 44c | 142.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 71c | 142.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Akira Santillan | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 56c | 132.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Akira Santillan | 20c | 130.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Akira Santillan | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Akira Santillan | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 56c | 99.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Akira Santillan | 41c | 98.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Akira Santillan | 20c | 97.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Akira Santillan | 27c | 93.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Akira Santillan | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Akira Santillan | 50c | 76.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 54c | 75.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Akira Santillan | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 392 | 60.5%237 W · 155 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 53c | 56.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 49c | 55.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 73c | 53.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Akira Santillan | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 61c | 44.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Akira Santillan | 44c | 41.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Akira Santillan | 31c | 38.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Akira Santillan | 47c | 38.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 461 | 51.6%238 W · 223 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 77c | 35.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Akira Santillan | 47c | 30.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…1a4fbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 49c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Akira Santillan | 45c | 29.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 68c | 25.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 72c | 25.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.