TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Heilbronn: Matej Dodig vs Guy Den Ouden

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guy Den Oudenof Matej Dodig, Guy Den Ouden
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3663…8950backed Matej Dodig30c13,608$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.9439243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matej Dodig19c7,202$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.598,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Guy Den Ouden55c3,406$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.1321147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matej Dodig41c2,782$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.8911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Matej Dodig18c2,210$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.431234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Guy Den Ouden69c2,163$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.813,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Guy Den Ouden56c1,802$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.761553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Matej Dodig46c1,774$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.091,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Guy Den Ouden61c1,738$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.0557842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Guy Den Ouden68c1,714$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.84,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Guy Den Ouden68c1,623$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.811,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6168…dda9backed Guy Den Ouden78c1,603$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.565265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Guy Den Ouden72c1,500$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.521,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Matej Dodig17c1,297$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Guy Den Ouden73c1,081$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.9929754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Guy Den Ouden68c1,068$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.11,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Guy Den Ouden70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.39,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matej Dodig29c853.55$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.76,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Matej Dodig24c833.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Guy Den Ouden66c801.06$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3118445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Matej Dodig12c785.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2842125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Matej Dodig27c709.95$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.979533.7%32 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Matej Dodig15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Guy Den Ouden66c607.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9378840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Matej Dodig42c564.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5315442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Guy Den Ouden70c505$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.654,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Matej Dodig39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Matej Dodig17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Guy Den Ouden77c440.01$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.041,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matej Dodig34c408.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.758,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Guy Den Ouden74c402.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9873458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Guy Den Ouden60c391.39$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.561,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guy Den Ouden70c385.48$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.78,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Matej Dodig39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a3…cc1bbacked Matej Dodig25c359.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1114245.8%65 W · 77 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Matej Dodig20c356.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Guy Den Ouden62c352.31$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.881,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab37…7b61backed Guy Den Ouden64c342.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.376668.2%45 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Guy Den Ouden62c331.35$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.978757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Matej Dodig30c311.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9635932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Matej Dodig40c309.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcf…f0d9backed Matej Dodig19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Matej Dodig42c285.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Guy Den Ouden75c281.27$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.074070%28 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Matej Dodig11c274.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.143208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Matej Dodig12c269.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.375312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Guy Den Ouden68c255$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9855941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Matej Dodig48c241.83$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0863648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Guy Den Ouden63c232$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8427753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Guy Den Ouden67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8849943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Matej Dodig48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Guy Den Ouden72c204.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.863746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Guy Den Ouden68c198.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.531,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Matej Dodig20c197.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Matej Dodig26c194.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.413,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Guy Den Ouden53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.685052%26 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Matej Dodig40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7558745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Matej Dodig21c161.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.11,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Guy Den Ouden62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2981256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Guy Den Ouden66c153$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1934847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Guy Den Ouden61c152.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.383,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Matej Dodig47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.58158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Guy Den Ouden67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2528249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Matej Dodig28c145.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Matej Dodig48c133.4$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.625242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936e…4d49backed Guy Den Ouden75c132.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.826165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Guy Den Ouden59c132.49$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3224856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Guy Den Ouden74c130.4$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.186,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Guy Den Ouden76c130.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.261,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Guy Den Ouden78c115.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3836264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Matej Dodig13c113.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Guy Den Ouden60c111$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.413743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Guy Den Ouden75c110$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.582,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Matej Dodig21c104.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0253736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Guy Den Ouden67c100.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.752,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Guy Den Ouden52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Matej Dodig28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.211,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Matej Dodig39c92.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3633540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Matej Dodig42c89.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5973748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Matej Dodig25c83.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.751,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Matej Dodig47c76.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.961,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Matej Dodig46c69.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Guy Den Ouden67c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Guy Den Ouden68c67.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.681,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Matej Dodig25c66.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5378350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Matej Dodig48c65.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Guy Den Ouden71c63.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.295,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Guy Den Ouden72c63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6447857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Matej Dodig29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9815752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Guy Den Ouden62c61.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Matej Dodig38c59.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Guy Den Ouden69c59.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Guy Den Ouden56c55.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3660962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bf…d351backed Guy Den Ouden62c52.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.022339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Matej Dodig39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.282,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Guy Den Ouden59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8523551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guy Den Ouden61c49.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.317,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Guy Den Ouden71c47.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Guy Den Ouden59c44.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.053647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4baa…a572backed Guy Den Ouden78c43.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.