Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8d6f57104a056e9374d5e4532e7fdbf509f6b8351a1a39c34ac7b872cd4d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 1,252$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 19c | 712.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 414.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 6c | 257.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 6c | 246.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…712cbacked Yes | 6c | 242.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Yes | 19c | 223.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 6c | 216.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 6c | 190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…ac6dbacked Yes | 6c | 166.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes | 17c | 129.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 21c | 73.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 71.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.