South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2bcdd3ea8644b5aa377f58c9c8979a52aa6bf4ab8dec53b7656a98477f61d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,055$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.12 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,884$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.89 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,149$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.62 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 761.39$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 663.85$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 19c | 536.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 18c | 492.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 306.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 24c | 279.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 241.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 22c | 238.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 210.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 205.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 197.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 34c | 192.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 179.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 149.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 36c | 144.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 10c | 133.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 127.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 74c | 108.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 32c | 104.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Yes | 21c | 101.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…b20bbacked Yes | 28c | 98.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 74c | 91.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 30c | 89.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…6e46backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 74c | 79.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…4dabbacked Yes | 19c | 79.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 70.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…b3bbbacked Yes | 22c | 67.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 30c | 67.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…0185backed Yes | 22c | 60.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 24c | 59.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 56.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 22c | 44.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 52c | 42.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 39.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 59c | 38.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 53c | 36.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 34.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 29.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 51c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 15.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 15.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 66c | 15.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.