South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe280201c22bdf636edfc0ce6557c884d7a8cc98f5455a3a20789a6627be57fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 1,167$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 27c | 514.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 474.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 299.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 74c | 294.05$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 37c | 267.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 39c | 259.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 38c | 256.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 69c | 197.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 156.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 128.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 8c | 126.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 53c | 122.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 65c | 121.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 112$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 106.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 61c | 96.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 88.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 85.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed No | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 60.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 25c | 60.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 64c | 57.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 45.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 27c | 38.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…bc3cbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.