Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe27230ffb1047072bcb3fd380f545b58bbd270cc3f27559f9cde8376b0864fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 62c | 2,270$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.46 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 2,205$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.8 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 43c | 1,170$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 43c | 849$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 64c | 767.92$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 605.75$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 51c | 599.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 599.91$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 59c | 534.46$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 302.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 286.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 244.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 243.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 243.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 38c | 238.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 62c | 236.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 9c | 222.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 59c | 221.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 215.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 192.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 61c | 137.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 131.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 127.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 127.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 36c | 106.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 61c | 103.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 66c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…4c8abacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 46c | 89.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 40c | 81.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Yes | 38c | 79.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 36c | 65.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 55c | 64.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 36c | 64.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 35c | 57.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 53.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18df…fa22backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 59c | 50.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 35c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 63c | 40.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…f829backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 62c | 39.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 35.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 37c | 29.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Yes | 64c | 27.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 37c | 27.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 38c | 26.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 54c | 26.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will AZ vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.