Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0af0a411d580138e398b84cffd7a825a75a7515de40b9c51e789054329da6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,430$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.49 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.11 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 4c | 867.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 65c | 783$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.53 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 26c | 579.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 30c | 441.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.83 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 4c | 366.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 33c | 304.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 27c | 247.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 30c | 246.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 195.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 168.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 160.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 55c | 129.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 26c | 117.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 17c | 108$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 89.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 84.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 70.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…401bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 27c | 55.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 47.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 71c | 46.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Yes | 28c | 39.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 80c | 32.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 62c | 32.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 46c | 29.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 68c | 23.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 22.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 21.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.