TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucas Poullainof Lucas Poullain, Alexandr Binda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2978…b511backed Alexandr Binda18c9,940$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.4244032.7%144 W · 296 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Alexandr Binda17c8,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36032935.6%117 W · 212 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Lucas Poullain72c7,611$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.237159.2%42 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Alexandr Binda41c7,021$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lucas Poullain70c1,637$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.363,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Alexandr Binda26c1,319$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.3222352.5%117 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alexandr Binda38c1,125$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.43,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Alexandr Binda32c1,054$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.029137.4%34 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Lucas Poullain57c921.36$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.3618947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Alexandr Binda43c775.96$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4756244.1%248 W · 314 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Alexandr Binda16c522.04$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.915115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Lucas Poullain80c509.37$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.352,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Alexandr Binda4c501.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075912.1%92 W · 667 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucas Poullain72c480$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.582,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed Lucas Poullain62c476.19$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.956952.2%36 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Lucas Poullain62c476.19$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9513337.6%50 W · 83 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexandr Binda38c476.19$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5c…17eebacked Lucas Poullain62c476.19$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.952748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Lucas Poullain80c440.12$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4321455.6%119 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandr Binda21c383.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.925,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Alexandr Binda4c335$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Lucas Poullain62c283.56$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5692953.5%497 W · 432 L-4.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Alexandr Binda32c276.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Alexandr Binda18c264.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.579433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Lucas Poullain72c252.68$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.141,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Alexandr Binda12c251.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1994751.1%484 W · 463 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Alexandr Binda22c250.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Alexandr Binda4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109715.5%15 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Lucas Poullain65c217.29$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0546658.6%273 W · 193 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…b59cbacked Alexandr Binda16c206.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310821.3%23 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Lucas Poullain79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Alexandr Binda11c183.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.562,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alexandr Binda18c178.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.552,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0565…14d9backed Lucas Poullain78c151.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.411266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexandr Binda24c148.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.679,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Alexandr Binda32c140.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Lucas Poullain72c133.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.255664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449f…2d2ebacked Lucas Poullain61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1525447.6%121 W · 133 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0368…9874backed Lucas Poullain77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Lucas Poullain80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Lucas Poullain72c123.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.555468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Alexandr Binda12c115.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418830.9%58 W · 130 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Alexandr Binda27c104.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2426921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Alexandr Binda19c101.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Alexandr Binda49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4945646.3%211 W · 245 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lucas Poullain62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Lucas Poullain66c97.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6125048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Lucas Poullain64c97.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4153946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x560e…3cc9backed Lucas Poullain57c91.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Lucas Poullain75c88.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751,07136.8%394 W · 677 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Alexandr Binda49c73.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.881,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lucas Poullain79c66.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Alexandr Binda37c56.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9130055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Alexandr Binda25c51.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9712035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Lucas Poullain74c51.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3647251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fad…1a08backed Alexandr Binda20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Alexandr Binda41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa69…ff71backed Lucas Poullain76c48.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9310366%68 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Alexandr Binda33c47.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8114715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Alexandr Binda37c47.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6495445.5%434 W · 520 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lucas Poullain75c42.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.494,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Lucas Poullain63c40.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8382659.3%490 W · 336 L+3.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Lucas Poullain76c39.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.511,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Lucas Poullain62c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4471045.4%322 W · 388 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Lucas Poullain69c37.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Alexandr Binda42c37.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4415742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Lucas Poullain73c37.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Lucas Poullain78c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Lucas Poullain62c32.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.213737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Lucas Poullain66c31.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lucas Poullain68c29.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.516,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Lucas Poullain66c29.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1039560.3%238 W · 157 L+28.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alexandr Binda38c27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33cb…3af8backed Lucas Poullain63c25.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41850%9 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd436…18a9backed Lucas Poullain45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7512550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Lucas Poullain77c23.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4221153.6%113 W · 98 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd3…bed8backed Lucas Poullain67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.395030%15 W · 35 L-7.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Lucas Poullain78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6226957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Lucas Poullain77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4547657.4%273 W · 203 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Lucas Poullain80c14.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.