South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d8f6ee0a76ffc87c89486b5cc71f723d5f62e509192b8e37c37e81fcf09f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 3,402$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 3c | 1,181$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 37c | 1,078$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 969.42$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.36 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 51c | 617.96$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…2652backed Over | 46c | 554.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 34c | 314.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 311.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Under | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 55c | 254.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 223.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 59c | 166.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 72c | 138.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 30c | 116.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 53c | 113.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 41c | 88.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 71c | 85.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 72c | 69.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…1615backed Over | 24c | 52.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 29c | 51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Under | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 64c | 24.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 45c | 22.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Under | 55c | 20.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.