TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals56c36,000$20,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,839.9877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Detroit Tigers44c31,111$13,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,688.8438148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Detroit Tigers45c22,133$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals55c13,303$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,986.351,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Detroit Tigers0c5,034$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals55c4,913$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals56c4,881$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.525,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Detroit Tigers2c4,437$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.391,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Detroit Tigers44c4,178$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers7c4,065$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers14c3,529$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.58,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Detroit Tigers6c3,133$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.996839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals55c2,770$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.443,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers44c2,620$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1592,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals74c2,479$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.2811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Kansas City Royals56c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89073748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Detroit Tigers44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88014647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Detroit Tigers44c1,678$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.1960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Detroit Tigers10c1,600$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16416232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals68c1,246$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.494,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers23c1,160$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.052,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Detroit Tigers2c1,158$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.455852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers44c1,150$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.131,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals55c1,129$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.092,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals63c1,125$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.181,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals54c1,112$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Kansas City Royals54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50651547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers1c1,048$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Detroit Tigers3c1,029$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8831039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers4c980.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.221,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals56c937$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.281,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33057758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Detroit Tigers45c692.78$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7557744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Detroit Tigers7c676.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.292934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Detroit Tigers45c650$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Detroit Tigers2c616.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.553929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Detroit Tigers44c570$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.822548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers44c537.76$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.611,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Detroit Tigers44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kansas City Royals56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17639850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Kansas City Royals57c370.72$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4820258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Detroit Tigers23c361.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2570735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Kansas City Royals56c324.13$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8351449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kansas City Royals56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13234648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Detroit Tigers44c299.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Detroit Tigers18c228.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2160348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Detroit Tigers44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals55c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.116,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Detroit Tigers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Kansas City Royals56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8835446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Detroit Tigers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Kansas City Royals73c196.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6422948.5%111 W · 118 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kansas City Royals60c188.87$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5545952.9%243 W · 216 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kansas City Royals55c180.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0512457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked Detroit Tigers44c168.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.333241.3%137 W · 195 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers25c162$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Detroit Tigers44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Detroit Tigers44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Detroit Tigers44c145.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6436157.9%209 W · 152 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed Kansas City Royals72c123.56$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2323454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals55c119.56$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.258,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Detroit Tigers44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.438145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Kansas City Royals55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4573653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Detroit Tigers21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Kansas City Royals57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4378454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers15c96.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals56c91.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f2…34d0backed Detroit Tigers19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Kansas City Royals56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked Detroit Tigers45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4088045.1%397 W · 483 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Detroit Tigers44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Detroit Tigers44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers42c79.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.692,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers30c70.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1284122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Detroit Tigers29c70.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3814134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Detroit Tigers44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.863644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Kansas City Royals56c66.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0543253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a63…ceabbacked Detroit Tigers45c62.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9951049.2%251 W · 259 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Detroit Tigers44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Kansas City Royals57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Kansas City Royals57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6323051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4a…97bdbacked Kansas City Royals57c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Kansas City Royals57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.530350.8%154 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Kansas City Royals56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Detroit Tigers44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206150.8%31 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52e…a9e2backed Detroit Tigers25c43.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43b…f851backed Kansas City Royals56c41.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Detroit Tigers32c40.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9814643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Kansas City Royals57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.224152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Kansas City Royals76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4717460.3%105 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Kansas City Royals56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.715062%31 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xffb1…f54ebacked Detroit Tigers45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1643749.9%218 W · 219 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dec…71f7backed Kansas City Royals56c34.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a58…f9d8backed Detroit Tigers44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf28…fee3backed Detroit Tigers45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525043.6%109 W · 141 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.