Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4717789b39cd035a10451f85d94399ab24ee3e0a04b0b2a18c699decfd79c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 10c | 4,172$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed Yes | 11c | 3,806$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 10c | 3,363$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 2,262$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…adc8backed Yes | 1c | 1,345$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 1,090$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 7c | 864.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 10c | 600$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 588.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 509.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 8c | 480.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 9c | 443.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 10c | 300.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 10c | 275.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 10c | 164.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 11c | 156.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…6f6dbacked Yes | 9c | 134.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 10c | 128.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 10c | 127.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 11c | 113.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.