Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Kilian Feldbausch vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5477f694dd71c787806e07e1ac86fcf6f7ca14adf6525e123de26cebeb1930e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kilian Feldbauschof Kilian Feldbausch, Gilles Arnaud Bailly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 3c | 2,963$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 80c | 728.87$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 23c | 706.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 15c | 644.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 40c | 563.51$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 38c | 508.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 40c | 466.81$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kilian Feldbausch | 60c | 403.84$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 4c | 403.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 28c | 399.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…90ccbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 317.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 69c | 313.56$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kilian Feldbausch | 79c | 285.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 41c | 239.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 41c | 238.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 60c | 232.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 38c | 201$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Kilian Feldbausch | 59c | 169.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Kilian Feldbausch | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 19c | 129.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 11c | 126.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3d…a204backed Kilian Feldbausch | 80c | 125.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kilian Feldbausch | 59c | 119.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 32c | 99.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 13c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 17c | 89.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Kilian Feldbausch | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 40c | 79.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kilian Feldbausch | 62c | 77.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Kilian Feldbausch | 60c | 52.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kilian Feldbausch | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Kilian Feldbausch | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9392…2b70backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Kilian Feldbausch | 71c | 47.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Kilian Feldbausch | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Kilian Feldbausch | 64c | 39.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 30.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kilian Feldbausch | 60c | 30.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 24.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Kilian Feldbausch | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.