Tennis · resolved market
Vicenza: Lautaro Midon vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e4051b3a0556089599d4d6b0bb1ba270bc588701f4bba5ca1f9b05db2a502e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lautaro Midonof Lautaro Midon, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lautaro Midon | 47c | 1,756$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lautaro Midon | 66c | 1,360$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.03 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 15c | 1,270$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 1,259$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.09 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lautaro Midon | 49c | 1,212$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 45c | 929.66$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 50c | 913.8$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 38c | 425.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lautaro Midon | 70c | 401.78$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 44c | 372.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lautaro Midon | 59c | 281.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 274.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 260.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lautaro Midon | 46c | 216.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 24c | 197.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 26c | 192.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 181.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lautaro Midon | 46c | 181.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lautaro Midon | 68c | 151.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Lautaro Midon | 46c | 146.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 11c | 129.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 24c | 125.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…43efbacked Lautaro Midon | 45c | 122.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 111.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 61c | 109.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 104.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Lautaro Midon | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 88.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 85.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lautaro Midon | 52c | 85.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52c | 80.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 77.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Lautaro Midon | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lautaro Midon | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lautaro Midon | 46c | 69.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 44c | 57.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Lautaro Midon | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lautaro Midon | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Lautaro Midon | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 25c | 40.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Lautaro Midon | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lautaro Midon | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b753backed Lautaro Midon | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 143 | 69.2%99 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 48c | 31.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb034…179fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 38c | 31.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 28.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lautaro Midon | 45c | 23.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 51c | 21.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vicenza: Lautaro Midon vs Joao Lucas Da Silvathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Midon vs SilvaMidon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.