Fifa International · resolved market
Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50903e28119b3eb43a9eca516bd4e491f9029e09e6ef743a860085e53fd5e8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Yes | 9c | 4,375$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.16 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 9c | 3,135$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,580$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 7c | 1,401$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,293$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.17 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…c15fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,179$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 21c | 1,009$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.82 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 16c | 993.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Yes | 21c | 855.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 805.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 520.24$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Yes | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 76c | 446.3$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a787backed Yes | 8c | 360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 20c | 297.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 17c | 255.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Yes | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 18c | 243.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 21c | 232.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…6d50backed Yes | 13c | 230.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 212.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 17c | 197$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 8c | 188.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 18c | 154.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Yes | 21c | 137.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…aec4backed Yes | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 22c | 105.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 17c | 104.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 19c | 99.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 90.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…24c6backed Yes | 21c | 82.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 17c | 72.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 20c | 69.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Yes | 16c | 68.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 76c | 58.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed No | 78c | 58.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Yes | 18c | 55.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed No | 78c | 55.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 34c | 42.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 76c | 42.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 65c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw?this page
- Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
- Will Mozambique win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.