Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mozambique win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6459de70bfa24f5e0f5aeba9bcee44e7503b0e4d92f438142550031f05bfd04a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 12c | 3,481$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.56 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,617$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.31 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,798$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 1,734$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,309$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 14c | 1,300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 11c | 999.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 7c | 998.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 783.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 12c | 449.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 12c | 449.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 10c | 435.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 431.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 10c | 268.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 12c | 239.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 9c | 234.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 11c | 199.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 10c | 179.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…6d50backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 9c | 144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 13c | 137.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd266…8991backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 12c | 105.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 12c | 103.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed Yes | 12c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 24.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mozambique win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw?No won
- Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.