South American Leagues · resolved market
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9dfdba47b0a2bf8212e0186c605b879c88c7b3aa5cdc32a84534b9f27f2435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.89 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 5,581$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.33 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 2,991$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 1,739$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.23 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 1,722$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,461$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 1,083$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 24c | 600$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 61c | 497.02$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 227.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 166.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 33c | 137.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Over | 17c | 117.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 38c | 105.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 61c | 103.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 36c | 79.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 46.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 74c | 46.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 40.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…e710backed Over | 31c | 34.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 61c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 65c | 17.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 70c | 14.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5this page
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Under won
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Barcelona SC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Barcelona SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.