South American Leagues · resolved market
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5bd70991550e403a487b77de629e0733d8b7316fbc48f6b9f2ee22aa0124ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 6,383$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 23c | 5,247$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,312$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 2,304$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.5 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Over | 64c | 1,491$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 53c | 827.16$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 61c | 826.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 62c | 752.93$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 36c | 597.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.71 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 588.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 467.46$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 360.8$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.53 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 21c | 298.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 36c | 262.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 41c | 106.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 64c | 104.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 96.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 29c | 87.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 65c | 79.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 65c | 61.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 63c | 54.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 54.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 68c | 54.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Under | 45c | 52.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 71c | 49.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 45c | 41.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 44c | 38.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 72c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 68c | 35.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 41c | 32.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 63c | 29.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 71c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…a3cebacked Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…ed4ebacked Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 68c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 75c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Barcelona SC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Barcelona SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.