South American Leagues · resolved market
Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e35d2a371eb9f57720f882c8f2ba05eb12bdebe3d1709e3e5e6d4ec33b7f460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 39c | 12,937$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,939.36 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 6,751$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.51 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 5,933$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.37 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 73c | 2,300$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 28c | 2,118$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.65 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 1,518$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 1,053$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.16 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 1,001$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 19c | 415.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 348.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 24c | 267.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 177.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 173.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Under | 56c | 168.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 40c | 156.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 11c | 151.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…f8c9backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 49c | 121.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 24c | 75.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 49c | 75.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Under | 50c | 69.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 67.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Under | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 68c | 53.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Over | 59c | 43.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Under | 52c | 43.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 58c | 40.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 37c | 40.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 55c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 52c | 26.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 50c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 54c | 21.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 65c | 18.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Recoleta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.