Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c8c620d78f5a758ac6cf1a5125bdfd1c6faca93d73b6b361c4cf091971a1ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 2,242$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.59 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 1,769$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 1,687$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 61c | 1,138$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,048$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.41 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 977.02$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.02 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 49c | 809.06$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 807.28$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 786.94$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.21 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 39c | 759.37$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 705.4$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.6 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 45c | 611.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 42c | 610.1$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 39c | 459.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 455.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 381.19$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 354.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 58c | 336.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 331.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 62c | 251.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Over | 60c | 220$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 213.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 50c | 209.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 188.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed Over | 60c | 146.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 62c | 145.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 45c | 142$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 62c | 117.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 102.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 100.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Over | 48c | 99.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 39c | 99.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 91.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 57c | 88.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 80.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 61c | 71.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Under | 41c | 70.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 58.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17f…92d8backed Under | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 53.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 55c | 52.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 48c | 52.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 48.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 48c | 47.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 47.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 54c | 43.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 43.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 44c | 41.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 45c | 37.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 35c | 37.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 60c | 36.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5d…6e17backed Over | 50c | 34.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 42c | 30.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 62c | 28.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 45c | 24.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 78c | 14.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.