Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbd7e0d97fe5f1bac4f1b60149d62e4413b4a0834b440caf78760790c9b7b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 68c | 7,330$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 2,885$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.79 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 2,122$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.65 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 32c | 1,658$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.12 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 44c | 1,130$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.03 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked No | 35c | 1,126$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 557.39$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.57 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 504$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 35c | 336.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Yes | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 64c | 123.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 66c | 64.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 37c | 51.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked No | 38c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 51c | 34.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Yes | 65c | 27.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.