TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Atlanta United FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c12,092$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,721.9827837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c4,727$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.63,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,890$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.8297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c1,885$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.681,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under47c1,600$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75217258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over50c1,577$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c1,439$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.7153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56412263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47052639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over45c981.56$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.865326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over53c958.14$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.332934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c893$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.926662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c745.34$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7116453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32912661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Under48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.361566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under11c363$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.931421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under69c336.57$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c302.39$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over50c293.26$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.462365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under54c271.08$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c238.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8258043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under49c233.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c219.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c205.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9413158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9416960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9414257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1810853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.615060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over58c156.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.635448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over45c140.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.295228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over72c112$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3622269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over53c110.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c107.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4811244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over48c100.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.322347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c95.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0315458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over31c92.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.766357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.653053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc455…1532backed Over31c86.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c78.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9731158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under64c76.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.883141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under52c74.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.371,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.96065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over44c69.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.820849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over35c68.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7829460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over42c66.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.213461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c57.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over52c56.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8996756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over52c56.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.894047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.256443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under49c46.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7916656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over46c41.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.487245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3610957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.815259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under57c38.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0339234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under50c37.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.542927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8743…9591backed Under48c36.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over33c33.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.432152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under46c32.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.743542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.113557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.120154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.936254.8%34 W · 28 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd478…0921backed Under48c26.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under52c25.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under49c24.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c24.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3846156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c24.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under46c21.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1216531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over56c18.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.043574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.