Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1981322f34f5392113e3c2f65da5dde60c65add8a645a07daf5661ed99bee976
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 10,185$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.56 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 51c | 9,810$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.08 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 66c | 2,993$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,423$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 2,277$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.04 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 40c | 1,889$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.69 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,209$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.48 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 585.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.73 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 16c | 441.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.05 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 412.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 67c | 392.08$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Over | 67c | 338.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 295.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.23 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…03ddbacked Over | 67c | 274.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 250.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 220.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 62c | 205.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 68c | 192.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 15c | 188.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 34c | 179.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 58c | 171.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 30c | 160.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 67c | 124.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 24c | 118.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 18c | 105.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 52c | 98.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 67c | 98.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 17c | 97.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x903a…316bbacked Over | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 66c | 73.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 70.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 34c | 65.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 21c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 33c | 58.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 65c | 58.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 68c | 57.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 56.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 66c | 49.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Over | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Over | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 45.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…936dbacked Over | 67c | 41.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 49c | 37.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 33c | 36.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 32c | 36.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 54c | 35.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 35c | 32.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 67c | 27.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 67c | 24.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Over | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 66c | 18.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…8745backed Over | 63c | 17.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.