Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69c8e79f7db1d4517baa7aa24c60817973b1d8b8ac454a13a13e6b15520da5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,045$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 2,455$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.33 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Yes | 70c | 1,411$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 1,382$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 766.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 63c | 481.87$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 461.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 456$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…03ddbacked Yes | 64c | 303.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…23a3backed No | 39c | 220.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 149.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 66c | 125.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 113.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed No | 33c | 103.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Yes | 68c | 98.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 96.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 47c | 78.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 64c | 75.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 69.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 53c | 66.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 63c | 43.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Yes | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Yes | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 38c | 28.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…936dbacked Yes | 64c | 21.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 65c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.