Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x471b6f254ac5f339bff33c87829ecf7710257bdaa52cfe1bcc8538c1207bd9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 61c | 12,505$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 4,291$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.06 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 60c | 2,005$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.03 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 40c | 1,372$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Over | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 781.62$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.07 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Over | 60c | 625.97$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 601.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.86 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 40c | 585.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 39c | 567.84$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 504.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 497.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 403.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 37c | 295.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 39c | 256.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 62c | 254.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 39c | 253.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 39c | 249.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 60c | 245.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 39c | 237.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 233.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 230.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 213.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 5c | 208.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 200.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Over | 61c | 193.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 177.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 6c | 175$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 61c | 160.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 157.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 41c | 116.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 114.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…d107backed Over | 56c | 105.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 39c | 93.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 93.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…2a49backed Under | 24c | 81.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 55c | 78.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 39c | 72.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 39c | 72.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 61c | 67.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 39c | 59.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…bdd8backed Over | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 58c | 50.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 48c | 43.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 61c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 60c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 43c | 30.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 61c | 30.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 61c | 30.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 40c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 41c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 64c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…9e14backed Over | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 60c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Over | 62c | 16.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5this page
- New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.