TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Over61c12,505$7,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,915.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c4,291$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.0677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over60c2,005$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.038661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under40c1,372$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.71825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Over60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under41c781.62$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27312661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Over60c625.97$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c601.29$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.861,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under40c585.15$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0610848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under39c567.84$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.922927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c504.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c497.44$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.781,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c403.79$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.033,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under40c361.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.653043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under37c295.64$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3921547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Under39c256.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993020%6 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over62c254.54$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.737668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under39c253.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2112849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under39c249.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over60c245.85$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.345464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under39c237.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3615458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c233.01$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.856662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under40c230.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over68c213.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under5c208.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.173551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c200.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.951,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7813158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Over61c193.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7224351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c177.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under6c175$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over61c160.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2810853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under42c157.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under41c116.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.256443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c114.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2882044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x464a…d107backed Over56c105.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c101$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6471443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under39c93.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9722263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c93.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…2a49backed Under24c81.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.754040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over55c78.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1420849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under39c72.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.469452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under39c72.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.461225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under41c70.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.944660.9%28 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over61c67.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.416955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under39c59.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.016555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5281…bdd8backed Over64c58.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.13540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over60c56.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.778465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over60c56.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.774669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.055362.3%33 W · 20 L+12.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+83%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over58c50.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.174047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over63c46.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.232347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under48c43.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.032842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under40c38.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4216656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over61c33.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.053470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over60c32.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.814845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4912254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under43c30.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3310556.2%59 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over61c30.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0719560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over61c30.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.073461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.316853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.713557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under40c28.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5710754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under40c28.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under41c27.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over64c26.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.638950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f8…9e14backed Over60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under42c23.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0816531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over60c18.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.522744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Over62c16.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.