Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf0b38b943c7adbdd31bcdf4678b30c919ce5d33586ec808f81b3a0a0ae8d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 26c | 3,483$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 1,175$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.84 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 344.15$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 324.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Over | 79c | 217.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +417.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 213.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 188.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 76c | 185.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 73c | 132.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Under | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 66c | 113$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 76c | 104$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Under | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 50c | 72.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 72.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 40.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 50c | 35.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 51c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 66c | 20.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 20.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-2.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.