Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e02529c0ad8ee254a65e598dd0d04e788f3366c837f5fa0625ffbba9ce67041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxford United FCof Oxford United FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Oxford United FC | 58c | 334.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 40c | 308.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oxford United FC | 56c | 195.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Oxford United FC | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 59c | 175.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 55c | 137$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 47c | 95.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 47c | 95.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 43c | 57.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Oxford United FC | 46c | 51.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Oxford United FC | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oxford United FC | 46c | 39.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Oxford United FC | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 62c | 27.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-2.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.