Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c30af2186d17451d513930b79cc065733cb1be03103ff6883eaed7189e3af8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Monaco, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anadolu Efes | 11c | 1,614$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 23c | 1,103$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Anadolu Efes | 19c | 999.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Anadolu Efes | 19c | 858.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 79c | 715.04$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Anadolu Efes | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monaco | 77c | 679.9$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.87 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Monaco | 78c | 532.54$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Anadolu Efes | 11c | 450.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Monaco | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Monaco | 79c | 142.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Anadolu Efes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…2421backed Anadolu Efes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Anadolu Efes | 22c | 91.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…b7d8backed Monaco | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Monaco | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…edcebacked Monaco | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Monaco | 74c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.