Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c6818596db363200ac7e0743a23ea0ec5efffa986f436fc8be92601de35628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Munchenof Paris Basketball, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 1,040$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.42 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Paris Basketball | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Paris Basketball | 65c | 925.71$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.89 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 618.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.7 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Paris Basketball | 52c | 599.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed FC Bayern Munchen | 38c | 376.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 320.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Paris Basketball | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FC Bayern Munchen | 41c | 207.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 134.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Paris Basketball | 60c | 76.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Paris Basketball | 64c | 74.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Paris Basketball | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Paris Basketball | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed FC Bayern Munchen | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Paris Basketball | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Paris Basketball | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Paris Basketball | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Paris Basketball | 43c | 23.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Paris Basketball | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.