Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53483668fd082c326b260a9dc8684b4b101e3752fd1900ab64493483398b936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 3,772$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.45 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 1,550$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.14 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 1,049$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 1,006$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 899.74$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 889.39$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 611.43$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.59 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 538$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 535.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked BetBoom Team | 61c | 258.83$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…936abacked BetBoom Team | 61c | 167.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…46dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 77.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 69.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 45.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 41.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked BetBoom Team | 62c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)BetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.