Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a0ad4f02035364f8374644ac0d62495c6bf95d4b322cd1214aef3b12189477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Under | 23c | 3,014$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.84 | 507 | 70%355 W · 152 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Over | 71c | 2,798$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Over | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 1,755$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Over | 70c | 1,500$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.72 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Under | 76c | 1,128$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 3c | 1,080$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Over | 69c | 1,047$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.75 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 25c | 1,010$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.87 | 2,370 | 32%758 W · 1,612 L | +42.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 26c | 1,005$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Over | 19c | 1,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 44c | 915.56$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…0887backed Over | 41c | 855$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 56c | 815.56$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Over | 73c | 773.32$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 49c | 275.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 1,612 | 48.4%780 W · 832 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…e2dabacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 76c | 237.18$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.73 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Under | 16c | 228.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Over | 60c | 216$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Under | 26c | 131.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Under | 22c | 89.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Under | 46c | 57.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Under | 46c | 39.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)LNG Esports won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerUltra Prime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.