Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. Boston Terriers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a2ea4c5fd683c84c8107e1f2be38c37402e5b22835c6c0bcea1e3f7e4c5f083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maine Black Bearsof Maine Black Bears, Boston Terriers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Boston Terriers | 75c | 6,700$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.36 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maine Black Bears | 28c | 3,003$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Maine Black Bears | 39c | 2,553$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.62 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maine Black Bears | 35c | 1,458$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.63 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Terriers | 80c | 1,431$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Maine Black Bears | 20c | 1,326$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.77 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Boston Terriers | 80c | 1,305$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maine Black Bears | 20c | 1,126$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.02 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Boston Terriers | 1c | 750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maine Black Bears | 31c | 524.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.92 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Maine Black Bears | 50c | 440.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Maine Black Bears | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maine Black Bears | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Boston Terriers | 70c | 400$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Maine Black Bears | 29c | 362.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Maine Black Bears | 31c | 327.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Terriers | 80c | 301$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maine Black Bears | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Boston Terriers | 60c | 273.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boston Terriers | 17c | 217.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maine Black Bears | 78c | 181$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Maine Black Bears | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Boston Terriers | 38c | 157$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Boston Terriers | 79c | 139$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maine Black Bears | 33c | 117.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maine Black Bears | 18c | 116$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Boston Terriers | 76c | 111$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Boston Terriers | 16c | 101.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 95.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maine Black Bears | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed Maine Black Bears | 34c | 88.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Maine Black Bears | 23c | 67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…5adebacked Boston Terriers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Boston Terriers | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Boston Terriers | 78c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Maine Black Bears | 29c | 48.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Boston Terriers | 78c | 46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Boston Terriers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Boston Terriers | 78c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Boston Terriers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Boston Terriers | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Boston Terriers | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Boston Terriers | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Boston Terriers | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Boston Terriers | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…3663backed Boston Terriers | 71c | 31.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…92dbbacked Maine Black Bears | 70c | 23.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Boston Terriers | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Boston Terriers | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Boston Terriers | 80c | 16.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.