Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x357b97d91dfecb30a69aad99dd09facd1b7480c0adb521f6cb2b9c04faeaad51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 55c | 8,322$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.75 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 53c | 2,797$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.13 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Yes | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 54c | 1,930$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.18 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,821$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.52 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,517$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.09 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 57c | 1,302$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 1,228$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 53c | 1,224$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.82 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 1,063$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 45c | 866.67$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.67 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 44c | 800.67$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.37 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 51c | 725$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes | 45c | 671.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.61 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 641.62$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.62 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 56c | 624.42$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.21 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed No | 56c | 599.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed No | 57c | 577.16$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 44c | 520.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.2 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 48c | 511.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.68 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 44c | 507.58$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 45c | 452.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 43c | 451.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.48 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 44c | 440$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 415.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 49c | 415$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed No | 50c | 379.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 44c | 325.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…ea73backed Yes | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…0368backed Yes | 50c | 234$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…fc3cbacked Yes | 44c | 221.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 54c | 214.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6621…22ccbacked Yes | 45c | 207.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 5c | 197.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…6097backed Yes | 45c | 193.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 53c | 190$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…5208backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed No | 57c | 177.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed Yes | 46c | 169$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked No | 50c | 162.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…40b0backed Yes | 45c | 152.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes | 44c | 147$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…38c7backed No | 58c | 140.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 55c | 139.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde65…b502backed Yes | 43c | 127.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…25c3backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…4dfabacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…2136backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 254 | 37.4%95 W · 159 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 45c | 108.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 46c | 103$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…9178backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 50c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…ec46backed Yes | 48c | 99.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Yes | 44c | 95.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Yes | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…ceb0backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 45c | 89.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…c5a2backed Yes | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked No | 58c | 73.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 65.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…c28cbacked Yes | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1eacbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked No | 58c | 59.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 45c | 57.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…9e28backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed No | 55c | 49.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2773…d703backed Yes | 46c | 47.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsYes won
- Luca Zidane: 4+ savesNo won
- Thiago Almada: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.