Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a505e25d6ae7c68bdc077728d182fca1d779a02e8c8a4ab12557aabf4431022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 64c | 3,038$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.66 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 33c | 1,004$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.94 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 66c | 999.95$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Yes | 36c | 692.17$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 37c | 625.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 35c | 569.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 63c | 527.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 65c | 518.72$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 65c | 480.86$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 33c | 376.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 34c | 326.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 66c | 299.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 35c | 284.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed No | 65c | 249.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed No | 68c | 249.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 60c | 218.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 49c | 207.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 175$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…7cd7backed No | 69c | 156.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 57c | 153.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e39cbacked Yes | 35c | 140.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…80bfbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…4ba6backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…4fb0backed Yes | 40c | 125.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 35c | 116.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 66c | 108.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 35c | 102.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 34c | 93.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 92.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…e87bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…7443backed Yes | 39c | 87.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 35c | 79.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Yes | 41c | 73.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked No | 70c | 71.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes | 38c | 65.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 63.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…c649backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…23d2backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ac…a0fabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 32c | 48.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…7ea1backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 70c | 40.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x573f…4eb3backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…d9b5backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 70c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsYes won
- Luca Zidane: 4+ savesNo won
- Thiago Almada: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.